Khamis, Ogos 23, 2012

SABAH DEFECTORS WILL COMPLICATE PAKATAN SEAT

SABAH DEFECTORS WILL COMPLICATE PAKATAN SEAT

ANWAR Ibrahim's wild and disproportionate celebrations over the defection of two Umno MPs were always going to be short-lived and bang on cue, the cheering from Pakatan Rakyat has stopped.

The problem is that the decision by Wilfred Mojilip Bumburing and Datuk Lajim Ukin to give their allegiance to Pakatan Rakyat is far from unconditional.

If they were totally committed to Pakatan Rakyat they could have simply joined one of the existing parties and that would have been the end of it but both men ruled this out from the outset.

Instead, they insisted on starting their own new parties. Lajim has created the Pakatan Perubahan Sabah (PPS) and Bumburing the Angkatan Perubahan Sabah (APS).

That's right, two new parties in a state where voters already have 14 to choose from but these two new parties are significant because they have no terms agreed with Pakatan.

Any negotiations about what jobs the two men would get in a Pakatan Government or about seat allocations must start with a blank sheet of paper – and no doubt with unreasonable expectations.

And already Lajim has fired his opening salvo demanding that his PPS be allowed to contest 17 of Sabah's 25 parliamentary seats. Given that Pakatan doesn't split the vote by fielding multiple candidates this means he wants most of the state. Nice try Lajim. Your loyalty to your new coalition will be noted.

Remember, Pakatan Rakyat already has a seat deal in Sabah with the local Sabah Progressive Party (SAPP). Will the defection of just two MPs force Pakatan to tear up that deal and start again? Let's see.

But without overstating it, this episode has a real chance of following Pakatan across the water to its Peninsula states.

Already seat allocation talks between PKR, DAP and PAS over the 222 seats on offer at GE13 have stalled with all parties wanting a larger piece of the pie.

DAP, which contested more than 60 seats at GE12, recently stated that it wants to field candidates in 90 seats at GE13.

And even PAS has an inflated sense of entitlement on the grounds that it made such inroads in 2008. The fact that its fortunes have plummeted since then apparently count for nothing. It wants more seats.

Remember also, this is a party that has speculated about talks with Umno ahead of its seat allocation discussions with PKR. As a tactical move it wasn't very subtle but it could prove effective.

Both DAP and PAS will be watching with interest to see if Lajim and Bumburing manage to extract a good deal from the Pakatan Rakyat numbers men. That's why this issue is so much bigger and more important than Sabah.

Pakatan Rakyat would be well-advised to keep Anwar Ibrahim away from any negotiations with this duo.

Aside from the fact that Anwa

Anwar sees defection as a campaign tool which is as clean and legitimate as the other vote winning strategies of publishing a manifesto and explaining policies. You know, the things that normal political parties campaign on.

How odd that the two men Anwar celebrated as prize catches on Sunday are now set to hold him over a barrel.

If only he respected loyalty as a quality in those around him. Then he would be more likely to get some back. (The Choice)

42 ulasan:

  1. Tidak ada yang menarik dengan Lajim dan Bumburing. Kita lihat saja adakah mereka ini disokong. Tambahan lagi dengan gelaran lompat parti akan menjejaskan sokongan rakyat kepada mereka.

    BalasPadam
    Balasan
    1. Rakyat pasti akan buat pilihan yang tepat s/ada nak sokong mereka ni ka tak :)

      Padam
    2. Apasalahnya melompat parti?

      Padam
    3. mereka akan ikut jejak langkah Yong Teck Lee dan SAPP.. sebaik keluar dari BN populariti mereka bukannya meningkat, sebaliknya menurun.. hinggakan suri rumah pun tidak mampu ditewaskan..

      Padam
    4. Kesan atau tidak, serahkan kepada rakyat yang menentukannya.

      Padam
  2. Tambah parti, tambah persatuan lagilah tambah merumutkan nanti. kalau sehaluan dan setuju untuk bekerjasama, tidak apa juga.

    BalasPadam
    Balasan
    1. Itulah, ramai yang tetap menjangkakan BN akan menang besar juga nanti kerana pembangkang bukannya satu tapi banyak so undi pun pecah banyak lah.

      Padam
    2. Pembangkang saling bersaing, ini cuma memberi lebih peluang untuk BN terus menang.

      Padam
    3. sukar untuk bekerjasama jika masing2 hanya memperjuangkan kepentingan sendiri..

      Padam
    4. Mereka mementingkan diri.

      Padam
  3. Susah juga dua orang ini. Entah apa ada dalam fikiran mereka.

    BalasPadam
    Balasan
    1. persoalannya, apa yang dibincangkan antara dua orang ini dengan Anwar sehingga mereka sanggup meninggalkan parti yang banyak menyumbang kepada kareer mereka..

      Padam
    2. saya jangkakan, wujud tawar menawar jawatan TPM atau KM atau TKM antara mereka sekiranya Anwar berjaya merampas kerajaan.. itu saja la taktik yang biasa digunakan oleh Anwar setiap kali menjelang PRU..

      Padam
  4. Tolonglah wahai rakyat Sabah, mengundilah dengan bijak dan bukannya ikut suka hati saja.

    BalasPadam
    Balasan
    1. parti pembangkang sibuk berjanji, tapi negeri yang ditadbir mereka pun bermasalah.

      Padam
    2. Semua berada ditangan rakyat untuk menentukannya.

      Padam
  5. Masa depan kita dan generasi hadapan terletak di tangan kita. Jangan sia-siakan kuasa yang ada.

    BalasPadam
    Balasan
    1. yup.. asa depan kita bukan terletak ditangan peimpin2 politik.. maju mundurnya kita, bergantung dengan kesungguhan diri kita sendiri..

      Padam
  6. Setiap undian akan membawa perubahan dan kesan besar untuk generasi akan datang. Pilih untuk masa depan dan bukan emosi.

    BalasPadam
    Balasan
    1. untuk masa depan yang baik, kekalkan saja kerajaan sedia ada.. latar belakang Anwar sudah banyak kali tercemar.. kelayakkan beliau untuk manjadi PM tidak ada langsung..

      Padam
  7. Let see whether Lajim dan Bumbering will gain good support?

    BalasPadam
    Balasan
    1. sokongan yang mereka ada bukan disebabkan oleh kepimpinan mereka, sebaliknya disebabkan oleh kekukuhan, kestabilan dan kemampuan BN..

      Padam
    2. rakyat pasti tahu siapa yang patut mereka pilih.

      Padam
  8. wah.. nampak bangga Anwar bila ada katak yang melompat masuk ke halaman rumah beliau.. dia sedarkah bahawa katak2 ini bukan mahu makanan serangga kecil, sebaliknya mahu makanan berupa $$$?

    BalasPadam
    Balasan
    1. Anwar hanya mahukan sokongan untuk dia jadi PM saja.

      Padam
  9. jika niat Anwar mahu mencalonkan kedua2 katak ini menggunakan tiket Pakatan di Sabah, bermakna Anwar tidak mendengar seruan pembangkang2 Sabah yang mahukan satu lawan satu dengan BN..

    BalasPadam
  10. sebelum ini Anwar berjanji akan memberikan laluan kepada pembangkang2 tempatan di Sabah untuk bertanding menentang BN.. tapi perkembangan semasa ini langsung tidak memperlihatkan hasrat beliau atau janji beliau..

    BalasPadam
  11. Anwar memang pandai berjanji, tapi rakyat harus bijak menilai, jangan mudah percaya.

    BalasPadam
  12. parti pembangkang mahu bersatu pun susah, menunjukkan mereka sukar bekerjasama.

    BalasPadam
  13. Pembangkang semakin kuat, susah untuk dijangka sama ada ini akan mendapat sokongan yang lebih dari rakyat.

    BalasPadam
  14. Rakyat jangan mudah dihasut dengan janji manis, bezakan mana yang benar boleh ditunaikan demi masa depan.

    BalasPadam
  15. Sabah’s opposition front appears to be moving towards unity, but the ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition seemingly still holds the upper hand in the 13th general election that must be called by next April, despite the recent defections to the Pakatan Rakyat (PR). Although there was momentum gained from the recent crossovers, the opposition in Sabah still has its work cut out in avoiding three-corner fights in the next elections.

    BalasPadam
  16. Sabah’s colourful opposition ― which includes the State Reform Party (STAR), Sabah Progressive Party (SAPP), and federal opposition Pakatan Rakyat (PR) ― recently added the newly-formed Angkatan Perubahan Sabah (APS) and Pakatan Perubahan Sabah (PPS) to its fold.

    BalasPadam
  17. Beaufort MP Datuk Seri Lajim Ukin and Tuaran MP Datuk Seri Wilfred Bumburing had last month quit BN, and respectively formed the PR-aligned PPS and APS. They were last week joined by Senator Datuk Maijol Mahap.STAR president Datuk Dr Jeffrey Kitingansaid that his party is eyeing between 20 and 30 state seats, and anywhere from seven to 12 parliamentary seats.He did not dismiss the possibility of multiple candidates from the opposition, saying: “We’ve already calculated three corner fights ― two opposition, one BN ― it’s OK for us.”

    BalasPadam
  18. He was confident that the recent defections would not “affect” STAR’s supporters, saying that Bumburing and Lajim would be “bringing in support from BN side. Their departure will only affect the BN.” Kitingan said that the opposition parties in Sabah are “trying to forge a loose coalition” but claimed that PKR’s representatives did not turn up during discussions. “So we will see whether they are sincere.”

    BalasPadam
  19. When asked who will lead the Sabah opposition front, he said: “The United Borneo Alliance (UBA) is already operating as a group. So I think it is better it be led by local leaders rather than Kuala Lumpur (parties).” However Sabah PKR’s Darell Leiking said “the goal is more important than where you are from,” adding that being a leader in PKR did not mean that he was “less of a Sabahan” compared to leaders from parties such as STAR and SAPP.

    BalasPadam
  20. But he said “if two parties are working on the same seat, the strength (of the opposition) is stronger”, saying there is “no reason why we cannot co-operate.” He was responding to questions on how STAR and APS, with both focusing on the Kadazandusun Murut communities, would work together.

    BalasPadam
  21. He was upbeat about voter support, saying that people on the ground are “very enthusiastic... working together to fight BN.” APS information chief Lesaya Lopog Sorudim said the “focus is one fighting against one so the opposition votes will not be split and benefit BN.”

    BalasPadam
  22. Lesaya said Anwar had given the APS seats in mainly Kadazandusun Murut areas, adding that APS leader Bumburing was given the “mandate” to “discuss with STAR and SAPP to ensure a win-win situation”. DAP Sabah publicity secretary Chan Foong Hin told The Malaysian Insider that the party still aims to contest 20 state seats and 10 parliamentary seats, but said “it’s too early to conclude how many seats finally we will contest” as negotiations are still going on.

    BalasPadam
  23. The position of the ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition in Sabah is not affected by the defection.

    BalasPadam
  24. Such crossovers are part and parcel of politics. That’s common (asam garam) in politics … Sabah is a unique state.

    BalasPadam
  25. BN will continue fighting, even if we hear of turbulence here and there, but it does not threaten BN’s position in Sabah. That’s the freedom of our democratic system.

    BalasPadam